Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 4.903493 5.633765 6.400361 7.261871 8.199863 9.187087 10.301545
2024-12-15 4.091114 5.158558 6.347271 7.755538 9.364798 11.133413 13.210995
2024-12-22 3.317707 4.575600 6.056069 7.894537 10.084045 12.577535 15.600740
2024-12-29 2.874425 4.293609 6.045990 8.308965 11.094772 14.356229 18.406224
2025-01-05 2.491477 4.017521 5.988347 8.624753 11.965518 15.969778 21.042225
2025-01-12 2.121976 3.697180 5.823716 8.765684 12.594955 17.283607 23.329192
2025-01-19 1.753469 3.318533 5.531229 8.697647 12.928610 18.215916 25.148077
2025-01-26 1.520008 3.100263 5.427392 8.855095 13.536349 19.484718 27.388973
2025-02-02 1.319854 2.901093 5.324179 8.992119 14.103851 20.698602 29.568170
2025-02-09 1.076947 2.591065 5.022536 8.819667 14.232109 21.331966 31.006359
2025-02-16 0.874208 2.313536 4.738398 8.643735 14.332946 21.914656 32.372783
2025-02-23 0.738969 2.135086 4.590258 8.651428 14.677870 22.815551 34.154453
2025-03-02 0.603212 1.932349 4.386930 8.568653 14.899076 23.568133 35.776655
2025-03-09 0.550436 1.894310 4.459466 8.915005 15.747280 25.187617 38.571867
2025-03-16 0.463872 1.762194 4.352686 8.967528 16.162086 26.216632 40.592889
2025-03-23 0.431079 1.750621 4.461292 9.369261 17.101197 27.983846 43.626184
2025-03-30 0.391833 1.714461 4.519357 9.687000 17.918538 29.591152 46.461280
2025-04-06 0.338829 1.629046 4.474418 9.827291 18.466349 30.824675 48.800609
2025-04-13 0.273455 1.489073 4.307136 9.747725 18.669757 31.568513 50.474949
2025-04-20 0.237287 1.425294 4.285785 9.915021 19.254327 32.859512 52.911043
2025-04-27 0.204308 1.360887 4.255522 10.061637 19.805081 34.104704 55.292003
2025-05-04 0.155623 1.220480 4.046049 9.874607 19.818486 34.567937 56.587294
2025-05-11 0.115961 1.091122 3.843153 9.684096 19.814562 34.998774 57.835131